Climate Risk and the Energy Sector: Challenges and Opportunities

The energy sector is among the most exposed to the impacts of climate change and the transition to a climate-neutral economy. Climate risk affects not only the value of energy companies’ assets—particularly in the face of extreme weather events—but also their economic conditions, including access to financing from banks, pension funds, and insurance providers. Ongoing climate change requires a drastic reduction in greenhouse gas emissions: OECD countries are expected to achieve net-zero emissions by 2035, and the rest of the world by 2040. Analyses of renewable energy growth indicate that fossil fuels should be phased out of the energy system by 2030. This means energy companies must adjust their core activities to new market conditions, affecting the profitability of traditional power generation.

The maturation of renewable energy technologies, declining investment costs, and access to “green” support make technologies like wind farms more competitive than conventional fossil fuel plants, often with zero variable production costs. Consequently, energy companies must redefine their asset portfolios, investing in new generation capacity and grid infrastructure while integrating ESG principles and the 3P approach (Planet, Profit, People).

Climate risk also increases the threat of stranded assets—investments that may need to be retired earlier than planned, reducing balance sheet value, lowering credit ratings, and increasing debt costs. In this context, every long-term investment decision requires strategic foresight and flexibility.

Customer expectations are also evolving. Communities increasingly demand decarbonization, lower-carbon products, and the electrification of transport and heating. The energy sector must expand renewable energy use, support green hydrogen production, develop electric mobility solutions, enable prosumer engagement, and implement demand-side management. Companies that fail to adapt risk strategic errors and financial losses.

Examples of proactive initiatives include:

• reducing GHG emissions and developing carbon-neutral energy production,
• investing in energy storage and pumped-storage plants,
• deploying next-generation nuclear technologies and green hydrogen solutions,
• implementing smart energy solutions for industrial and residential customers.

The transformation of the energy sector illustrates that climate risk should be viewed as an opportunity. Companies that invest in green technologies and modernize their assets can not only safeguard their future but also gain a competitive advantage in a rapidly evolving energy market.